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有用的网站

Stockhom Resilience Center: http://www.stockholmresilience.org/

Resilience Alliance: http://www.resalliance.org/

Synergy Program for Analyzing Resilience and Critical transition: http://www.sparcs-center.org/

Regime Shift Database: http://www.regimeshifts.org/?Itemid=22

Sustainability Science at Southampton: http://www.southampton.ac.uk/sustainability_science

Complexity in Real World Contexts: http://www.southampton.ac.uk/interdisciplinary/usrgs/usrglisting/complexityinrealworldcontexts.page?

Ecosystem Canaries: biodiversity measures of early warning signals: http://www.southampton.ac.uk/biosci/research/projects/ecosystem_canaries.page?#overview

视频

As the World Tipped:  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UFAaQh8ipi8

工具

Regime Shift Detection: http://www.beringclimate.noaa.gov/regimes/

Early Warning Signal Toolbox: http://www.early-warning-signals.org/

用到的参考文献

Biggs, R. et al. 2012.Toward Principles for Enhancing the Resilience of Ecosystem Services. Annual Review of Environment and Resources 37, 421-.

Dearing, J.A. et al. 2012. Navigating the Perfect Storm: research strategies for social-ecological systems in a rapidly evolving world. Environmental Management 49, 767-775.

Hossain, M.S. et al. In review. The coevolution of ecosystem services and human wellbeing in the Bangladesh delta. Regional Environmental Change.

Hughes et al., 2013. Living dangerously on borrowed time during slow, unrecognized regime shifts. Trend Ecol Evol 28, 149-155

Scheffer, M. et al. 2009. Early warning signals for critical transitions. Nature 461, 53-59.

Scheffer, M. et al. 2001. Catastrophic shifts in ecosystems. Nature 431, 591-596.

Scheffer, M. et al. 2012. Anticipating Critical Transitions. Science 338, 344-348.

Turner, G.M. 2008. A comparison of The Limits to Growth with 30 years of reality. Global Environmental Change 18, 397– 411

Walker, B.S. et al. 2002.Resilience management in social-ecological systems: a working hypothesis for a participatory approach. Conservation Ecology 6 14. [online]

近期项目和发表的成果

ORSAS/UoS PhD Studentship: Complex dynamical changes in the trophic status of Erhai Lake, China, based on palaeolimnology and modelling (2008-2011 Rong Wang - supervisors John Dearing, Peter Langdon, Jo Nield)

Wang, R., Dearing, J.A., Langdon, P.G.,  Zhang, E., Yang, X., Dakos, V., Scheffer, M. 2012. Flickering gives early warning signals of a critical transition to a eutrophic lake state. Nature 492, 419–422. DOI10.1038/nature11655

ESPA Programme Framework Grant: lower Yangtze basin (2011-2013 John Dearing, Terry Dawson, Paul Sillitoe, Ke Zhang)

Dearing, J.A. 2013. Why Future Earth needs lake sediment studies.  Journal of Paleolimnology 49, 537-545. DOI 10.1007/s10933-013-9690-1

Dearing, J.A., Yang, X., Dong, X., Zhang, E., Chen, X., Langdon, P.G., Zhang, K., Zhang, W. and Dawson, T.P. 2012. Extending the timescale and range of ecosystem services through paleoenvironmental analyses: the example of the lower Yangtze basin.  Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 109, E1111-1120 doi:10.1073/pnas.1118263109 Open Access

NERC/UoS PhD Studentship: Resilience Management in Social-Ecological Systems: Developing a New Evolutionary Approach (2011-2014 Sarah Pogue - supervisors John Dearing, Mary Edwards, Guy Poppy) 

ESPA Evidence and Impact Research Grant: Safe and Just Operating Spaces (2013 John Dearing, Peter Langdon, Felix Eigenbrod, Helmut Haberle)

Dearing, J.A., Wang, R., Zhang, K., Dyke, J.G., Haberl, H., Hossain, M.S., Langdon, P.G., Lenton, T.M., Raworth, K., Brown, S., Carstensen, J., Cole, M.J., Cornell, S.E., Dawson, T.P., Doncaster, C.P., Eigenbrod, F., Flörken, M., Jeffers, E., Mackay, A.S., Nykvist, B., Poppy, G.M.  2014. Safe and just operating spaces for regional social-ecological system. Global Environmental Change 28, 227-238 (Open Access download http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2014.06.012)

EPSRC Bridging the Gap Grant: complex social-ecological systems: linking theory and reality (2013 John Dearing, Peter Langdon, James Dyke, Patrick Doncaster)

ESPA Putting Research into Practice Grant: poverty and ecology: communicating complexity (2013 John Dearing)

ESPA Consortium: Deltas - coastal Bangladesh (2012-2016 PI Robert Nicholls - at UoS Craig Hutton, Derek Clarke, Nazmul Haq, John Dearing, Attila Lazar)

Hossain, M.D., Hein, L., Rip, F.I. and Dearing, J.A. 2013. Integrating ecosystem services and climate change responses in coastal wetland development plans for Bangladesh.  Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change DOI 10.1007/s11027-013-9489-4

Hossain, M.D. and Dearing, J.A. 2013. Recent trends of ecosystem services and human wellbeing in the Bangladesh delta. ESPA Deltas Fast track report April 2013, pp. 57. http://www.espadelta.net/resources/docs/working_papers/ESPA_Deltas_FT3_June 2013.pdf

ESRC/NERC PhD Studentship: Safe and Just Operating Spaces in Bangladesh (2012-2015 Sarwar Sohel Hossain - supervisors John Dearing, Felix Eigenbrod, Angela Baschieri, Fiifi Amoako Johnson)

Hossain, M.D., Hein, L., Rip, F.I. and Dearing, J.A. 2013. Integrating ecosystem services and climate change responses in coastal wetland development plans for Bangladesh.  Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change DOI 10.1007/s11027-013-9489-4

Hossain, M.D. and Dearing, J.A. 2013. Recent trends of ecosystem services and human wellbeing in the Bangladesh delta. ESPA Deltas Fast track report April 2013, pp. 57. 

NERC Belmont Forum: Deltas - Nile, Mekong, Ganges (2013-2017 PI Efi Foufoula-Georgiou - at UoS Zoe Matthews, Robert Nicholls, John Dearing)

Efi Foufoula-Georgiou et al. (R. Nicholls, Z. Matthews, J. Dearing, A. Lazar, M.M. Rahman) 2013.: A vision for a coordinated international effort on delta sustainability, Deltas: Land forms, Ecosystems and Human Activities, Editors: Gordon Young and Gerardo M.E. Perillo, Proceedings of HP1, IAHS/IAPSO/IASPEI Scientific Assembly, pp. 3-11, IAHS Press, Oxfordshire.